NFL Wild Card Weekend Wrap Up | Bonehead Picks

NFL Wild Card Weekend Wrap Up

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The first weekend of the NFL playoffs did not exactly knock us over with excitement. As expected, Seattle easily took down Detroit and Pittsburgh ambushed Miami to move on to the next round. Houston’s defense stymied Oakland’s 3rd string QB to win by 13 and last night Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers dismantled the New York Giants. None of these results were a huge surprise. I expected Conner Cook to perform much better than he did, but I think you have to applaud the Texans defense. I also expected the Giants to show more life, especially on defense to at least make it a game, but the Packers are on fire and New York could not keep up. While I picked three of four winners, I was only 2-2 against the spread with Seattle being my only parlay win.

The lines for next week are already out and the Patriots have opened as a 16 point favorite at home on Saturday Night versus the Texans. That is a huge number for the playoffs. Atlanta opened as a 4.5 point favorite over Seattle which also seems a bit high. On Sunday, Kansas City hosts Pittsburgh and opened as a PK, but now Pittsburgh is a 1.5 point favorite with early action. Finally, Dallas is a 4 point favorite over the Packers on Sunday afternoon. At first look, I am leaning on three of the underdogs against the spread. It will be interesting to see where the lines go, especially the O/U’s, two of which are over 50, with all four being at least 45. I tend to play the under in the playoffs unless you have a real juggernaut of an offense. While many teams left have potent offenses, I think defense will be the dominator this week.

In DFS, my optimal lineup did ok in some of the smaller tournaments but did not win across the board in GPP’s as we ended up with 133.26. LeVeon Bell and Davante Adams were tremendous, but not one else other than Paul Richardson hit value leaving us disappointed. I thought we had a chance with Perkins and Cruz getting early looks, but the Giants offense stalled. Jay Ajayi could never get on track against a pumped up Steelers defense than dominated the line of scrimmage. I did have a couple of lineups that shined including the following that scored over 150 points. No huge wins though as you needed all the big players like Bell, Adams, Baldwin, Rawls, Brown, Cobb, Landry, and Rodgers in one lineup to score. Thankfully, I have been on fire with the NHL and did well with the NBA and PGA going a perfect 9 for 9 on the weekend to make up for the OPTIMAL LINEUP losses and then some.

170.56 (Rawls, Adams, Baldwin, Brown)

163.36 (Bell, Baldwin, Cobb)

163.18 (Rodgers, Rawls, Adams, Landry)

162.26 (Rawls, Adams, Baldwin, Landry)

159.96 (Bell, Adams, Baldwin)

158.66 (Bell, Adams, Landry, Rawls)

155.96 (Rawls, Adams, Baldwin)

155.56 (Baldwin, Landry, Brown)

153.68 (Rawls, Brown, Baldwin, Landry)

152.36 (Brown, Landry, Adams)

152.16 (Rawls, Adams, Landry)

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